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This is the best reasoning yet I've seen on why we may be looking for the wrong thing entirely. Interestingly, Michael Shermer just posted on UFO/UAP likelihoods, but I found his reasoning much less compelling:

https://michaelshermer.substack.com/p/a-challenge-to-believers-in-ufos?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxNDEyMDA4NSwicG9zdF9pZCI6NTQ3OTQwNjEsIl8iOiJRNHI4ayIsImlhdCI6MTY1MjYzOTk1NiwiZXhwIjoxNjUyNjQzNTU2LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNTI2MzUyIiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.i-ZmETljaB791Sa4MEPCU0KONBdZoCgTiqh9j973esY

I do agree that organic matter is impractical for cross-galaxy travel, but I do imagine intelligent machines (maybe with our uploaded consciousness) could also traverse the Universe, though not nearly as fast as just a pure energy form. Maybe time does not matter for machines in the way it would for organic beings? If a species became post-human a billion years ago, it's not impossible we could be visited by their machine descendants by now.

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Thanks MutterFodder! Re "If a species became post-human a billion years ago, it's not impossible we could be visited by their machine descendants by now." - Yes, and in a billion years they are likely to have developed ways to ensure that we can't detect them. Perhaps, right here and right now, we are being visited by a swarm of nanomachines inhabited by thousands of alien uploads. Or something else of that sort.

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